Who Really Voted for President Obama in 2008 and 2012?


  • Helena N. Hlavaty Middlebury College
  • Mohamed A. Hussein Middlebury College
  • Peter Kiley-Bergen Middlebury College
  • Liuxufei Yang Middlebury College
  • Paul M. Sommers Middlebury College
Keywords: Regression, t-tests, presidential elections

Abstract


The authors use simple bilinear regression on statewide exit poll data to gauge the popularity of President Barack Obama in election years 2008 and 2012 among voters in four age groups (18 to 29 year-olds; 30 to 44 year-olds; 45 to 64 year-olds; and voters 65 and older) and three income groups (under $50,000; $50,000 to $100,000; and voters earning more than $100,000).  While there was little change in his popularity among voters in all age groups, Obama’s popularity with the poorest group of voters (those earning less than $50,000) took a noticeable hit in 2012.

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Author Biographies

Helena N. Hlavaty, Middlebury College
Student
Mohamed A. Hussein, Middlebury College
Student
Peter Kiley-Bergen, Middlebury College
Student
Liuxufei Yang, Middlebury College
Student
Paul M. Sommers, Middlebury College
Paige-Wright Professor of Economics
Published
02-01-2015

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How to Cite
Hlavaty, H. N., Hussein, M. A., Kiley-Bergen, P., Yang, L., & Sommers, P. M. (2015). Who Really Voted for President Obama in 2008 and 2012?. Journal of Student Research, 4(1), 104-111. Retrieved from https://www.jofsr.org/index.php/path/article/view/200
Section
Research Articles